R0 & Behavioral Modeling - Resuming pre‐epidemic behavior would lead to a rapid rise in cases in most counties

  • April 23, 2020, via - A cell phone data driven time use analysis of the COVID-19 epidemic - Eli P Fenichel (Yale)

The model suggests that Americans’ behavioral shifts have reduced cases in 55%‐
86% of counties and for 71%‐91% of the population, depending on modeling assumptions. Resuming pre‐epidemic behavior would lead to a rapid rise in cases in most counties