⏰ Friday, February 28, 2020 11:17 AM

顾不了肺炎疫情是否会扩散啦, 再不复工整串苹果供应链大家一起死 ~上海浦东台资大厂昌硕复工, 乱成一
:alarm_clock: Friday, February 28, 2020 11:17 AM

I don’t care if the pneumonia epidemic will spread, and we will not resume the entire Apple supply chain and everyone will die together.
:alarm_clock: Friday, February 28, 2020 11:17 AM


⤺ reposted by @0xv1qny from 🔴 Is this video true?


Geez. Extended supply chain disruption

what exactly is this photo showing?

Aries any updates on Iran?

Scroll up I just did a batch from Iran

Factory workers returning to Foxconn

Just the numbers update is all I was after

Oh the number of dead

Yeah

485 was a few days ago

Nothing since that leak

Ok tx mate

If we had a bigger network

We could get such data

全球性的冠狀病毒爆發以來,中共的疫情數據一直撲朔迷離,自1月22日以來,中國國家衛生健康委員會已經至少六次修訂了應對“con-19”疫情的指導方針。由於頻繁隨意改變,導致2月12日以後的每日病例統計數據也有巨大波動。

2月初,致命的冠狀病毒在中國傳播的新病例激增,然後突然趨於平穩,接著又在24小時內增加了1.9萬多例。這些變化可能與實際情況關係不大,主要涉及到中共當局如何定義“確診病例”的問題。

世界衛生組織的現場團隊週一從中國的湖北省(疫情爆發的中心)和中國其他地區返回,得出的結論是,病毒在1月23日至2月2日期間達到了“頂峰並趨於穩定”。但獨立研究人員懷疑中共數據的可靠性,並對峰值的認定表示質疑。

兩個月前,當疫情首次在武漢爆發時,中國的新病例報告系統非常簡單。有經政府批准的一項核酸檢測證實的實驗室確診病例,也有疑似病例,其中包括出現症狀但未檢測出陽性的病例。

2月12日,中國國家衛生健康委員會(National Health Commission)悄悄地將通過胸部掃描所確症的患者重新歸類為“確診病例”,即使他們在實驗室裡沒有檢測出陽性。新的定義只適用於疫情中心湖北省。 (另外,中國衛生計生委2月14日說,為了糾正湖北省的一些重複統計,它從死亡總人數中剔除了108人,這似乎與統計方法的改變無關。)

根據美國全國廣播公司財經頻道(CNBC)對官方聲明中文文本的翻譯,由於病例的定義發生了變化,更多的患者可接受與確診病例相同的治療。世衛組織官員對這一決定表示肯定,認為這是邁向透明度的一步,但其數據的巨大出入卻在全球各地引發了衝擊波。

哈佛大學陳曾熙公共衛生學院(Harvard Chan School of Public health)的全球衛生經濟學家埃里克(Eric Feigl-Ding)說:“系統切換一次是可以的,但來回切換會給統計測量帶來很大困難,保持一致性是非常必要的。”

雖然方法的改變引起了混亂,但Feigl-Ding說他不認為這一定是蓄意操縱數據。然而,他表示,這種頻繁變化只會更加讓人們認為中共在有意隱瞞數據。白宮表示對中共公佈的冠狀病毒感染病例數據“信心不足”: “數據的困惑增加了不信任” 。

西頓霍爾大學(Seton Hall University)全球健康研究主任黃延忠說,上週報告中最初的變化表明,中共的醫療機構可能難以有效管理官方的covid19試劑盒。這些測試是核酸測試的一種形式,通常用於檢測肝炎和埃博拉病毒等病毒。黃說,這類檢測的準確診斷率可能低至50%,而在武漢這樣的城市,這個數字可能更糟,因為在疫情爆發期間,武漢的醫療系統承受的壓力太大了。

他說:“面對像武漢發生的疫情那樣的爆發,疫情的嚴重程度甚至會壓垮他們提供檢測服務的能力。如果處理不好,或沒有接受足夠的培訓,這種測試就會導致假陰性或假陽性。”黃說,如果湖北省各地的醫療工作者沒有資源或時間進行恰當檢測,最好還是依靠症狀來進行官方統計。另一方面,2月20日的逆轉可能是中共當局加強了湖北省資源和衛生工作者的一個跡象。 “這可能意味著武漢已經提高了他們的測試能力,”他說。

世界衛生組織總幹事Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus同意黃的觀點。

Liferiver Bio-Tech是一家總部位於上海的公司,該公司迅速為中國衛生官員提供了COVID-19的檢測包。該公司的張先生說,他的公司的測試能夠直接檢測出covid19病原體,但需要一種叫做“熱循環機”的特殊機器,這可能要花費數千美元。他還承認,“當病原體的體積非常小時,是檢測不出來的。”

另一家研發了冠狀病毒實驗室測試的生物技術公司Genprice的所有者兼首席執行官利文•傑沃特(Lieven Gevaert)對此表示贊同。但他寫道:“就投資而言,熱循環設備是昂貴的工具……在中國,並非所有醫院都有熱循環設備。”
Since the outbreak of the global coronavirus, the CCP’s outbreak data has been confusing. Since January 22, China’s National Health Committee has revised its guidelines for responding to the “con-19” outbreak at least six times. Due to frequent and random changes, daily case statistics after February 12 have also fluctuated greatly.

In early February, new cases of deadly coronavirus transmission in China surged, then suddenly levelled off, and then increased by more than 19,000 in 24 hours. These changes may not have much to do with the actual situation, mainly related to how the Chinese authorities define “confirmed cases”.

A World Health Organization field team returned Monday from Hubei Province (the center of the outbreak) in China and other parts of China, and concluded that the virus reached a “peak and tended to occur between January 23 and February 2 stable”. But independent researchers question the reliability of the CCP’s data and question the identification of the peak.

When the outbreak first broke out in Wuhan two months ago, China’s new case reporting system was very simple. There are laboratory-confirmed cases confirmed by a government-approved nucleic acid test, as well as suspected cases, including those who develop symptoms but do not test positive.

On February 12, China’s National Health Commission quietly reclassified patients diagnosed with chest scans as “confirmed cases,” even if they did not test positive in the laboratory. The new definition applies only to Hubei Province, the epidemic center. (In addition, the Chinese Health and Family Planning Commission said on February 14 that in order to correct some duplicate statistics in Hubei Province, it removed 108 people from the total number of deaths, which seems to have nothing to do with changes in statistical methods.)

According to the translation of the Chinese text of the official statement by the National Broadcasting Corporation Financial Channel (CNBC), more patients can receive the same treatment as confirmed cases due to changes in the definition of cases. WHO officials affirmed the decision as a step towards transparency, but the huge discrepancies in its data have caused shock waves around the world.

Eric Feigl-Ding, a global health economist at the Harvard Chan School of Public health at Harvard University, said: "It is possible to switch the system once, but switching back and forth will bring a lot of statistical measurement.

Difficult, consistency is necessary. "

Although the change in method has caused confusion, Feigl-Ding said he doesn’t think it must be a deliberate manipulation of data. However, he said that such frequent changes will only make people think that the CCP is deliberately hiding data. The White House said it was “not confident” in the CCP ’s data on coronavirus infections: “The confusion of the data has increased mistrust”.

Huang Yanzhong, director of global health research at Seton Hall University, said the initial changes in last week’s report suggest that CCP medical institutions may have difficulty managing the official covid19 kit effectively. These tests are a form of nucleic acid testing that is commonly used to detect viruses such as hepatitis and Ebola. Huang said that the accurate diagnosis rate of such tests may be as low as 50%, and in cities like Wuhan, the number may be worse,

Poland now has 53 suspected cases. 1 confirmed and then denied by another minister saying nothing is wrong

The whole country has suspected now

Once again do not believe any health minister or politician

Of course not

Only sharing the data best we can.

None of this has made it beyond polish media so far

You might have to start gauging the R0 for Iran

We might not get another leak like that for a while

Has the leaker gone dark?

Which leak specifically. The buried bodies?