Conference call with Coronavirus expert.
What’s the most important part of this? I read it, would be interested in your opinion
“Your colleague at HK university estimated that the size of the infected population on Jan 25th was 75K with a doubling time of 6.4 days. So by feb first we would have 150k infected. How accurate do you think these models are and how accurate have they been in the past?
Those figures did not take into account restriction on travel, quarantine etc… These reports are likely on the high side. This is not taking into account social distancing. Historically these models have not been all that accurate.”
“This is not taking into account social distancing. Historically these models have not been all that accurate.”